Tuesday, September 27, 2016

The Water Weapon

In the wake of recent terror attacks, Prime Minister Modi has through his statements indicated that the Indus Water Treaty will be reviewed, saying that "blood and water cannot flow together". India has also suspended its participation in the bilateral Indus Water Treaty commission.

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/india-likely-to-suspend-indus-water-commission-talks/article9150223.ece




Pakistan is clearly rattled by this, and is issuing a variety of threats, from threatening to go the International Court of Justice at the Hague, to bellicosely threatening to wage a "water war" against India by military means.


Sunday, September 25, 2016

Foreign Jet Fighter Makers Queue Up for India

Foreign jet fighter manufacturers are all scrambling to offer their technologies to India, reinforcing the rising importance of the country in relation to Western fears over an increasingly assertive China:

http://www.wsj.com/articles/foreign-jet-fighter-makers-woo-india-1474709401

Chinese Intrustion in Arunachal Pradesh

China's PLA has intruded across the LAC into Arunachal Pradesh:

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/chinese-army-arunachal-pradesh-indian-territory-intrude-lac/1/773211.html

British Pakistani Soap Actor Fired for Anti-India Racist Rant

British Pakistani actor Marc Anwar, who stars on the long-running British soap opera Coronation Street, was fired after making a racist rant against India and Indians on social media. And what a rant it was:

http://www.thenewsminute.com/article/pakistan-born-uk-actor-sacked-racism-against-indians-50413

Anwar, 45, who plays the role of Sharif Nazir in the British TV show, referred to Indians as 'b******s' and 'p*ss-drinking c**ts' on Twitter, reports mirror.co.uk. 
On his account, he also wrote: 'Why the f*** do Pakistani artists want to work in f***face India? Do you love money so much?"
He followed that up by tweeting an image of a clenched fist before adding: "Ban #india movies in #PakistanisLeaveIndia. B*****ds p**s drinking #c**ts.

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Govt-in-Exile to be Formed for Balochistan

The formation of a govt-in-exile for Balochistan may be imminent:

https://www.thequint.com/videos/2016/09/23/balochistan-government-in-exile-suleman-daud-khan-of-kalat-pakistan-terrorism-india-china-cpec-economic-corridor



Balochistan: Is China Getting India's Message?

The South China Morning Post reports on China feeling the effects of Indo-Pakistani tensions:

http://www.scmp.com/week-asia/article/2022087/why-china-caught-india-pakistan-crossfire

related article in the Chindu:

http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/china-caught-in-a-corridor-of-uncertainty/article9129331.ece

and one in China's state-run Global Times:

http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1007104.shtml

What's interesting is how low the Chinese awareness is on India compared to the awareness Indians have of China. That's why they continually underestimate us, and have been caught off-guard.

EU Parliament Warns Pakistan of Sanctions Over Baloch Atrocities

The head of the European Parliament is warning Pakistan of economic sanctions over its atrocities in Balochistan:

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/eu-threatens-to-impose-sanctions-on-pakistan-over-human-rights-violations-in-balochistan/articleshow/54490011.cms

http://zeenews.india.com/news/india/indias-balochistan-push-works-european-parliament-warns-pakistan-of-sanctions-over-atrocities-on-balochi-people_1932775.html


So what's really happening here? Pak has been warming up to Russia, just as China has. But Russia is EU's geopolitical adversary, as we all know. Russia's main geographic vulnerability is in its soft Central Asian underbelly, which we saw successfully exploited by the West during the Afghan War against the Soviets, which helped to build up Pak into the threat it is today. But since Pak now wants to be a collaborator with Moscow and not a weapon against them, that means Pak may now be putting itself in the West's crosshairs. An independent Balochistan would be a route for the West to reopen and re-expose the soft Russian underbelly, whereas a China-Pak economic corridor (CPEC) could permanently close it off. For the first time, Indian and Atlanticist interests now converge in Balochistan.

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Cutting the Indus Water Supply to Pakistan

Comments from Indian govt do not rule out cutting Pakistan's water supply from the Indus:

http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/amid-strain-india-does-not-rule-out-cutting-off-indus-water-to-pakistan-1465222

Analysts like Brahma Chellaney have advocated this approach for pressuring Pakistan:

http://www.livemint.com/Opinion/AJyJYJD4vnAvyCysxxphTN/Mending-Pakistans-behaviour.html


Others have pointed out that if India does this to Pakistan, then it could set the precedent for China doing the same to India using the rivers flowing out of Tibet which supply the Indus and Brahmaputra.

Personally, I feel that China will never be restrained by India's soft treatment of Pakistan. If and when the Chinese decide to strangle water supplies to India, they won't be constrained by how India treats Pakistan. It would be better for us to use the Indus waters against Pakistan sooner rather than later, in order to neutralize their threat earlier. If China decides to intervene, then it would give us the justification to change our policies towards China and recognition of Tibet.

Fwd: Pursuing coercive cyber measures against Pakistan+The Silent Chinese invasion+Abandoning the Army Doctrine in Kashmir


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Sanjeev 


1. China too caught in a corridor of uncertainity 22.9.16 by kallock bhattacharjee  http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/china-caught-in-a-corridor-of-uncertainty/article9129331.ece
 
2. Keep U.S. close, Russia closer by G Parthasarathy 22.9.16 http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/keep-us-close-russia-closer/298778.html
Even before the Sino-Indian border conflict broke out in 1962, the CIA was permitted to position facilities along the border with China, to monitor Chinese nuclear tests. The US was permitted to use a staging base in Charbatia, Odisha, for flying its U2 spy planes over China.  Strangely, our non-alignment was such in the 1950s that we fought shy of seeking defence equipment from the Soviet Union, despite signs of a growing Sino-Soviet rift!
The world situation has changed drastically since the 1970s.  What has, however, continued, is the Sino-Pakistan axis, with a growingly powerful China providing Pakistan with nuclear weapons and ballistic missile capabilities, while enhancing Pakistan's maritime, air and land power. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor is being accompanied with the establishment of a direct fibre optic link between the headquarters of the Western Theatre Command of China's People's Liberation Army in Kashgar (in China's Muslim-majority Xinjiang province) and the GHQ of the Pakistan army in Rawalpindi.
We should understand Russian imperatives in its immediate neighbourhood, in Crimea and elsewhere, while strengthening defence and energy cooperation with Moscow.'
 
3. India's enemies be warned Rafale will be a game changer by Claude Arpi 22.9.16 http://www.rediff.com/news/column/indias-enemies-be-warned-rafale-will-be-a-game-changer/20160922.htm
 
4. Abandoning the Army Doctrine in Kashmir 22.9.16 http://www.tribuneindia.com/news/comment/abandoning-the-army-doctrine-in-kashmir/298777.html by M.G. Devasahavan
Is it bullets by the Army against pellets from misguided youth? Is it that while the civil forces responsible for dealing with the situation are allowed to abdicate their role and bloat at the expense of the exchequer, the Army is asked to carry the can?
Lest there be any confusion, the Army Doctrine clearly defines "proxy war" and "insurgency". Proxy war is a war conducted between nations utilising non-state players to fight on their behalf. Insurgency is an organised armed struggle by a section of the local population against the State. '
 
5. Pursuing coercive cyber measures against Pakistan 22.9.16 by arun sukumar  http://www.orfonline.org/expert-speaks/pursuing-coercive-cyber-measures-against-pakistan/
 
6. The Silent Chinese invasion by B D Barua 22.9.16 http://www.indiandefencereview.com/news/the-silent-chinese-invasion/
China has started to bottle Tibetan water and in 2014, the government of the Tibetan Autonomous Region established a $54 million development fund to promote the bottled water industry.
Unless China displays empathy for the lower altitude neighbours of their occupied land, water shortage will scorch future generations of many states in the near future; but construction of dams on international rivers such as the Mekong, Brahmaputra or Amur shows that China is adamant on unilateral actions, least bothered about the happenings below.
Sri Lanka is failing in repaying its debts to China, its largest donor country.  The island nation offered many assets in exchange for a debt relief and the Chinese ultimately demanded 1500 acres of land for a Chinese Industrial Zone in Hambantota Sea Port .

Imbalances to note while analysing the policies of India and China are things like the following:

  • When India and other countries hardly know about a Chinese dam under construction, Chinese companies like Dongfang Electric are equipment suppliers to major Indian power projects
  • The activities of NORINCO and TCL in India as stated above

    Warm Regards
    sanjeev nayyar
    to unsubscribe write back



--
sent from samsung galaxy note3 neo, so please excuse brevity

David Letterman to Interview Modi for National Geographic

Talk show host David Letterman will interview Prime Minister Modi as part of a series for National Geographic:

http://www.thenewsminute.com/article/pm-narendra-modi-talk-climate-change-american-tv-host-david-letterman-50261

India About to Embark on Major Growth Phase

India's economy is about to embark on a major phase of growth, according to Credit Suisse:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/timtreadgold/2016/09/20/india-on-the-cusp-of-a-major-growth-phase-says-credit-suisse/#a7363c670f04

Monday, September 19, 2016

yours truly has been appointed to this panel

https://yourstory.com/2016/09/dipp-task-force-innovation/



--
sent from samsung galaxy note3 neo, so please excuse brevity

Fwd: After Uri strike, India must impose measured costs on terror exporters+4 pronged strategy to hit Pakistan+10 Behavioural traits India must change to successfully counter Pakistan


---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Sanjeev Nayyar


India's response needs to be well thought through, no knee jerk reactions and jingoism. The basic problem in dealing with Pakistan is in the Hindu mindset. Followers of Indian Religions are not aggressive by nature and have no desire to rule the world, unlike Islam and Christianity who are in a state of perpetual aggression through Conversions and Imposing their Scriptures on the world. Unless Hindus, Buddhists, Jains and Sikhs accept this basic reality, be in a state of 24 by 7 preparedness and counter these aggressive religions, India will always be unstable. Read Dr Ambedkar please.
 
It is very easy to blame Pakistan but difficult to hunt down the enemy within. Every terror attack needs local support. Until we learn to take decisive action, the next attack is only a few months. And action does not mean War. Do not blame the Government alone, the problem is with us. We need to change first!
 
1. Wrangles over water by Brahma C 16.9.16 https://chellaney.net/2016/09/16/wrangles-over-water/
 
2. 4 pronged strategy to hit Pakistan 18.9.16 by brig gurmeet kanwal http://www.rediff.com/news/column/time-to-hit-and-hurt-the-pakistan-army/20160918.htm
 
3. Knee jerk reactions are the worst in this kind of conflict situation 18.9.16 by lt gen ata hasnain http://www.rediff.com/news/column/the-implications-of-the-uri-attack/20160918.htm
 
4. Pakistan tends to resemble a suicide bomber by col anil athale 18.9.16 http://www.rediff.com/news/column/pakistan-tends-to-resemble-a-suicide-bomber/20160918.htm
 
 
6. 17 Jawans killed in Uri. Link has details if you wish to contribute to the Indian Army Welfare Fund. http://www.esamskriti.com/essay-chapters/Contribute-to-Indian-Army-Welfare-Fund-1.aspx
 
7. 10 Behavioural traits India must change to successfully counter Pakistan by sanjeev nayyar 2016  http://www.firstpost.com/world/ten-behavioural-traits-india-must-change-to-successfully-counter-pakistan-2751566.html
 
 
 
Warm Regards
sanjeev nayyar
to unsubscribe write back



--
sent from samsung galaxy note3 neo, so please excuse brevity