Tuesday, April 28, 2009

60 Miles From Islamabad

Now even the NYT types are getting jittery about Pak, as their latest editorial shows.

And from this we can see that Pak has now gotten itself into quite the trap: it can either be allowed to have jihadism, or else nukes - but not both. The larger international powers-that-be will not allow it to have both. Unfortunately, Pak doesn't know how to decide between the two, and give up one in order to preserve the other.

I'm reminded of a National Geographic special I saw which showed how a poacher trapped monkeys. He took a bottle and fastened it to the ground by tying it to a stake. Then he put some nuts inside the bottle and waited nearby, hiding. A monkey would come along and dip its hand into the bottle to get the nuts, but in closing its fist around the nuts, it was unable to remove its hand from the bottle. The stupid monkey was not intelligent enough to let go of the nuts, instead becoming confused and frustrated, thrashing around wildly and in futility. Meanwhile, the poacher would quickly come with a gunny sack and stuff the monkey inside.

This is the predicament that the stupid Pakistanis have put themselves in. They're too stupid to let go of the nuts, and are instead just thrashing wildly.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Well said, I think I had seen that monkey trapping trick in old, banned South African movie called 'Beautiful People'. Situation in Pakistan is always hard to read and as usual there are so many possibliities. Most common is old blackmail to get more International aid with threat of failure. Is Army trying to take this situation to the brink before taking over? Does Army really want Taliban in power? Why is Saudi Arabia and China quiet? But it is always more complicated then gasbags like me guessing moves in the great game. Things that we would never find out, ever. Wonder if situation this big can even be controlled or players just roll with the punches and take advantage when they see an opportunity. Indians have biggest stake and they'd better get working out all the scenarios quickly.